The average US spot Bitcoin ETF holder spent most of 2026 underwater. According to ARK Invest, that is no longer the case. The firm reports that holders’ investment gained 43% in a single quarter, a move it says indicates the market may be turning positive. From deep outflows to a record week Rewind to mid-July. Cumulative net outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs had reached approximately $5.8 billion, driven by Bitcoin’s choppy price action. Then the price turned. Bitcoin climbed from about $59,500 in early July to around $85,000 by early October, a gain of roughly 42.9%. That rally mattered for one specific number: the average holder’s cost basis. Estimates put it between $81,722 and $82,000. Cost basis is simply the average price investors paid to get in. Once Bitcoin traded above that range, the typical ETF buyer was sitting on a profit for the first time since January. The flows followed the price. In the week ending September 25, 2026, US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in net inflows of approximately $2.4 billion. That was the biggest weekly haul since October 2025. It also flipped total 2026 flows back into positive territory, with estimates ranging from $800 million to $934 million. ...
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