Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Price Record A New ATH Before October Ends?

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading today at over $71k, reflecting a strong upward trend supported by favorable market conditions and technical indicators. With a market capitalization of $1.405 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $47.361 billion, Bitcoin attracts significant investor interest. This article delves into the recent Bitcoin price performance, its technical indicators, and the BTC potential for new ATH before October ends.

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2024-10-29 (5D)

1- Factors Influencing Bitcoin Price Performance October 2024

Several recent developments have contributed to Bitcoin price performance over the past days:

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1. Market Recovery: The recent surge in Bitcoin's price is part of a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market. As investor sentiment improves, Bitcoin has seen increased demand, reflected in the significant trading volumes​.
    
2. Liquidation of Short Positions: The liquidation of over $43 million in short positions has further propelled Bitcoin's price upwards, indicating that many traders are betting against the asset and are now facing losses​.
    
3. Impact of Bitcoin Halving: The recent Bitcoin halving event has reduced miner rewards, which historically tends to constrain supply and push prices higher. This factor, along with the introduction of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), has bolstered investor confidence​.
    
4. Market Sentiment and Accumulation: Increased inflows to accumulation addresses, alongside a decline in deposits to exchanges, indicate that investors are more inclined to hold Bitcoin rather than sell, thus enhancing price stability​.

2- Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Roadmap Ahead

Bitcoin Price Performance Analysis

Over the past day, Bitcoin price has increased by 4.15%, and its monthly performance reflects a robust surge of 7.9%. Year-to-date, Bitcoin has surged an impressive 68.08%, and it boasts an exceptional 105.79% increase over the past year.

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Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $71,110, only 3.59% below its all-time high of $73,750.07, reached on March 14, 2024. This proximity to previous peaks indicates a remarkable resilience in its price performance, suggesting the potential for further gains as the asset approaches these historical highs. The combination of positive market sentiment and solid technical indicators supports the notion that Bitcoin could be poised for continued upward movement

Bitcoin Technical Indicators Analysis

Bitcoin's technical indicators reveal a mixed but generally positive sentiment in the market. The oscillator summary shows a neutral position, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 68.91, suggesting that Bitcoin is nearing overbought territory. A high RSI indicates strong momentum, yet it also implies that a pullback could be possible if buying pressure diminishes. Meanwhile, the momentum indicator stands at 2,745.58, reflecting bullish momentum, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) level of 1,664.34 further supports a buy signal, indicating positive price movement trends.

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On the other hand, the moving averages present a strong buy signal across the board. The 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $63,300.60, while the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at $62,230.08, both signaling upward price movement. Similarly, the 200-day EMA and SMA at $61,250.36 and $63,278.02 respectively indicate strong support levels. Collectively, these indicators suggest a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, reinforcing the potential for further price appreciation in the near term.

As Bitcoin approaches its previous all-time high, the convergence of these indicators could signify an ideal entry point for investors, suggesting that further upward movement is likely if market sentiment remains positive​. 

3- Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Potential for New ATH

Given the current metrics and market dynamics, Bitcoin's potential to reach a new ATH before the end of October appears promising. The combination of strong technical indicators—particularly the moving averages signaling a strong buy—alongside positive market sentiment and the impact of the halving event, creates a conducive environment for price appreciation. Analysts anticipate that if Bitcoin can sustain its current momentum and break through key resistance levels, it could swiftly approach or even surpass its previous ATH.

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2024-10-29 (YTD)

Furthermore, historical trends indicate that the weeks following a halving event often witness substantial price rallies. With Bitcoin's YTD growth at an impressive 68.08% and market volatility leaning towards bullish sentiment, the stage is set for a potential breakthrough.

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2024-10-29 (YTD)

In summary, the current Bitcoin price marks a significant moment in its ongoing recovery and upward trajectory. The convergence of positive technical indicators, coupled with favorable market conditions and investor sentiment, suggests that Bitcoin is well-positioned for continued growth. As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, investors should remain vigilant to these trends and the macroeconomic factors that may impact Bitcoin's price in the coming months.