Bitcoin reclaims 50-week EMA for the first time since late 2025

Bitcoin closed a weekly candle above its 50-week exponential moving average for the first time since November 2025, a move that technical analysts treat as one of the more reliable signals of a medium-term trend reversal. The reclaim puts BTC back in territory it lost roughly nine months ago, with prices hovering around $77K to $78K heading into the final week of August 2026. The timing is not accidental. Markets are positioning ahead of the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, scheduled for August 27 to 29, and this year’s theme, “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy,” reads like it was written by someone who actually owns a hardware wallet. Why the 50-week EMA matters The 50-week EMA has served as one of the more dependable cycle gauges for Bitcoin across multiple market regimes, acting as dynamic support throughout 2024 and most of 2025. When Bitcoin broke below it on November 17, 2025, that breakdown kicked off a prolonged stretch of bearish sentiment that saw traders gradually rotate out of leveraged long positions and institutional appetite cool noticeably. Now, with a confirmed weekly close back above the line, the narrative flips. ...