Bond Volatility Hits Highest Since March While Bitcoin Traders Stay Calm

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure TL;DR The MOVE index of U.S. Treasury volatility rose to around 104, its highest level since March. Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index remained near 37, close to its 2026 low, while the VIX was near 14. The split shows bond traders pricing substantially more uncertainty than Bitcoin and equity options markets. The supposedly volatile asset is looking unusually calm while the bond market gets nervous. U.S. Treasury volatility has risen sharply, with the MOVE index climbing from around 80 earlier in the week to approximately 104. That is its highest reading since March. Bitcoin options traders, by comparison, are pricing much less turbulence. Bitcoin Volatility Is Sitting Near Its Yearly Low Volmex’s 30-day Bitcoin implied volatility index, BVIV, has been hovering around 37. Its 2026 low is approximately 35. The Cboe VIX, which measures expected volatility in the S&P 500, is also close to its yearly lows around 14. Those readings create an unusual divergence. Government bonds are generally treated as one of the safest and most liquid corners of global finance. Bitcoin is nor...