The Canadian dollar has clawed its way back from the brink. After plunging to 14-month lows near 70 US cents earlier in July, the loonie has staged a meaningful recovery, with USD/CAD sinking to levels not seen since early June as of September 8, 2026. A Fed hold, a jobs miss, and a currency reversal The pivot point came on July 29, when the Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%. Three dissenters favored a hike, which tells you the internal debate is real. But the majority held firm, and markets responded by trimming the odds of a September rate increase. That decision alone nudged USD/CAD down toward 1.40, with the loonie touching a 9-day high around 1.4024, roughly 71.31 US cents. Then came the jobs report that really moved the needle. US nonfarm payrolls for July showed a decline of 23,000 jobs. Economists had expected a gain of 80,000. That 103,000-job gap between expectation and reality did more for the Canadian dollar than any central bank statement could. USD/CAD dropped to its lowest reading since early June, as traders recalibrated their assumptions about when, or whether, the Fed would actually tighten further. Canada’s economic ...
Canadian dollar advances as US dollar remains under pressure
1 week ago
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