Coinbase launches live crypto price prediction markets

Coinbase now lets US users make a yes-or-no call on where crypto prices are headed, sometimes within a quarter of an hour. The exchange launched live crypto price prediction markets on October 6, 2026. The new contracts sit alongside the regular buy and sell buttons. That makes Coinbase a place where you can hold Bitcoin and, in the same app, wager on whether it climbs before your coffee gets cold. How the new contracts work The setup is deliberately simple. Users choose an asset, choose a timeframe, then choose a direction: up or down. Each position is a binary event contract. If your call is right, the contract pays $1. If it is wrong, it pays $0, and there is no partial credit for being close. Prices for these contracts reflect crowd-implied probabilities. As an illustration, a contract trading near 70 cents would suggest the crowd sees roughly a 70% chance of that outcome. Supported assets include BTC, ETH, SOL and BNB, among others. Contract durations start at 15 minutes. Positions can be funded with either USD or USDC, the dollar-pegged stablecoin. Traders can also run these bets in real time next to whatever they already hold on Coinbase. On the regulatory side, the product ...