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US President Donald Trump is sitting down with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Thursday at 10:15 a.m. local time for a bilateral summit that could reshape the trajectory of US-China relations.
Bitcoin has gained roughly 3% over the past week as traders priced in reduced geopolitical risk ahead of the meeting. Markets are treating diplomatic progress between the world’s two largest economies as a green light for risk assets, and crypto sits squarely in that category.
What’s on the table in Beijing
This meeting marks Trump’s first state visit to China in nearly a decade. The agenda reportedly spans a wide range of flashpoints: Taiwan, Iran, international technology diffusion, and trade.
The US-China trade war has been one of the most reliable sources of market chaos in recent years. In 2025 alone, escalations in trade tensions contributed to an estimated $19 billion in leveraged liquidations across crypto markets.
Analysts suggest that a genuinely positive outcome from the summit could generate a 5-10% uplift in major tokens.
The crypto policy paradox
Trump has been positioning himself as a pro-crypto advocate since his 2024 presidential campaign. His administration’s posture has been friendlier to the sector than any previous one.
Xi’s China has maintained a comprehensive ban on cryptocurrency activities since 2021. No trading, no mining, no ambiguity. Beijing’s play is the digital yuan: a state-controlled central bank digital currency that gives the government full visibility into transaction flows.
Delays in US crypto legislation, particularly the Clarity Act, have raised concerns among analysts that regulatory uncertainty could hand China a competitive edge in the broader digital asset space. Some analysts have warned that failure to advance legislation like the America’s Bitcoin Act could actively strengthen China’s digital asset position.
What this means for investors
Bitcoin’s 3% pre-summit rally suggests that at least some portion of the market is already positioning for a constructive outcome. If the talks produce concrete agreements on trade or technology cooperation, reduced tariff risks mean less drag on global growth, which tends to support speculative assets. More stable US-China relations also reduce the kind of sudden shocks that trigger cascading liquidations in leveraged crypto positions.
Given the $19 billion in leveraged liquidations that trade-war volatility produced in 2025, the downside isn’t hypothetical. It’s recent history.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
English (US) · 