When U.S.-Iran relations showed signs of improvement and hopes for a diplomatic deal circulated, crude prices softened. The Dow responded by closing at a record in May 2026, ending more than three months of stagnation. The S&P 500 followed a similar script. Falling energy costs reduce input costs for companies across manufacturing, logistics, and consumer goods. That margin relief, combined with easing rate expectations, gives institutional investors a reason to add exposure. The Nasdaq’s situation was more complicated. Tech earnings from major firms including Alphabet and Tesla introduced a layer of volatility that had less to do with oil and more to do with whether these companies could justify their valuations. The broader takeaway from Nasdaq’s digestion phase is that market leadership in 2026 appears to be broadening, moving beyond the semiconductor trade that dominated recent years. Bitcoin traded near $63,000 during periods when falling oil prices eased inflation expectations. The weak trading volumes that accompanied Bitcoin’s move toward $63,000 are worth noting. A price level without volume behind it is fragile. When oil prices spiked in July 2026 amid renewed Middle ...
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