IDF to conduct airstrikes on Lebanon amid ongoing tensions with Hezbollah

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are set to conduct airstrikes on Lebanon in the coming hours, according to an announcement by the Upper Galilee Regional Council. This development comes amid ongoing tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, the militant group operating in Lebanon. Despite several ceasefires brokered by the United States earlier this year, hostilities have persisted, with Israel maintaining a military presence in southern Lebanon. The planned airstrikes indicate a continuation of military operations rather than a move towards de-escalation or withdrawal. Key Takeaways The imminent IDF strikes on Lebanon suggest an escalation in the ongoing conflict, rather than a step towards a ceasefire. Market pricing for Israel withdrawing from Lebanon by the end of 2026 is at 5.5% YES, down from 6% a day ago, indicating decreased confidence in a withdrawal. Persistent military actions by Israel are consistent with scenarios where a withdrawal by the end of the year appears unlikely. What to Watch Observers will be focused on the IDF’s actions in the coming hours and their potential impact on the broader Israel–Hezbollah conflict. Any statements from key figures such as Israeli Prime...