Iran may extend US conflict until Trump leaves office

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An adviser to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has suggested that Iran might extend its conflict with the United States until President Donald Trump leaves office. The statement, aimed at increasing costs and strengthening deterrence, implies a strategy of prolonging the conflict to exert pressure on the U.S. administration. This approach aligns with Iran’s broader strategy of attrition warfare, where the goal is to endure and outlast political pressure rather than make immediate concessions. The ongoing 2026 Iran war, which began with U.S. and Israeli strikes, continues to see stalled negotiations and heightened tensions. Key Takeaways The IRGC adviser’s comment appears consistent with a strategy of prolonging the Iran-U.S. conflict, potentially affecting negotiation dynamics. Market pricing suggests a decrease in the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026, with odds reflecting increased tensions and uncertainty. The statement is consistent with Iran’s broader approach of attrition warfare, focusing on enduring U.S. pressure. What to Watch Watch for any developments from the U.S. administration in response to Iran’s strategy, as this could impact diplomatic efforts and...

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