Iran says it hasn’t sought negotiations with the U.S. over the past two weeks

Iran has announced it has not pursued negotiations with the United States in the past two weeks, according to a statement on social media. This development comes amid ongoing indirect talks between the two nations following the 2026 Iran war, which have yet to yield a comprehensive agreement. The discussions, often mediated by third-party countries, have focused on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions, and Iran’s nuclear program. Iran’s recent statement suggests a potential pause or hardening in diplomatic efforts, rather than a complete cessation of U.S.-Iran contact. Key Takeaways Iran’s recent statement appears to suggest a lack of current diplomatic initiative toward the U.S., which could indicate a pause in active negotiations. Market pricing reflects a significant decrease in the likelihood of a diplomatic meeting by July 31, with odds dropping to 1.5% from 3% over the past 24 hours. The broader market context shows a decrease in short-term odds, with the August 7 and 15 markets also experiencing declines, suggesting skepticism about immediate diplomatic progress. What to Watch Observers will closely monitor any official announcements from the White House or Iranian...