Polymarket traders bet Anthropic will outgrow Bitcoin by year-end

Prediction market odds put Anthropic's chances of topping Bitcoin's market cap before December 31 as high as 79%, as its IPO approaches An AI company that has never traded publicly is now being measured against the largest crypto asset on the planet. On Polymarket, traders put the odds that Anthropic’s valuation will exceed Bitcoin’s market cap before year-end at as high as 79%. The bet, by the numbers The Polymarket contract asks whether Anthropic’s valuation will top Bitcoin’s market capitalization at least once before December 31, 2026. Recent odds have ranged between 74% and 79%. The market has drawn around $209,000 in betting volume. The trigger for all this attention is paperwork. Anthropic filed its S-1 registration with the SEC on October 26, 2026, setting up a Nasdaq listing under the ticker ANT. Market expectations for the debut valuation sit between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion. For comparison, Anthropic’s most recent private valuation was $965 billion, set after a $65 billion Series H round in May 2026. Where Bitcoin stands Bitcoin’s market capitalization has been reported between $1.55 trillion and $1.61 trillion. That corresponds to a BTC price moving roughly between...