Rep. Max Miller likely to stay in Ohio race despite abuse allegations

https://www.axios.com/2026/08/02/max-miller-moreno-abuse-allegations Rep. Max Miller is set to remain in the Ohio race for the 7th Congressional District despite ongoing domestic abuse allegations, according to a report from Axios. The timing of the allegations and subsequent legal actions have placed Ohio Republicans in a difficult position as they face a deadline that appears to have passed for replacing Miller on the ballot. This development has led to a significant shift in the prediction markets, with the likelihood of Miller’s withdrawal decreasing sharply. The House Ethics Committee is investigating the allegations against Miller, who has denied all accusations and filed defamation lawsuits. Despite this, the market response suggests that participants see little chance of his withdrawal before the key deadlines. The pricing reflects a broader sentiment that the GOP may not be able to replace Miller, potentially impacting the party’s prospects in the district. As of the most recent data, the probability of Miller withdrawing before August 9 has dropped to 0.9% from 24% just a day prior. Similarly, the chance of a withdrawal before August 30 has decreased to 6.9%, and by Septe...