The CLARITY Act vote lands September 15. Everything crypto has been waiting for comes down to two weeks.

The cloture vote, the CPI print, the FOMC decision, and the SEC’s 24-hour trading roundtable all fall in the same 10-day window. The outcome will shape crypto regulation for the rest of the decade. Summary The U.S. Senate returns from recess on September 14 and holds a cloture vote on the CLARITY Act at 2:15 p.m. ET on September 15, needing 60 votes to proceed to a full floor debate. Polymarket odds for the bill becoming law in 2026 have collapsed from 82% in February to 16% as of September 6, while Galaxy Research pegs the probability at just 10%. Three unresolved disputes block passage: ethics rules targeting President Trump’s $1.4 billion in crypto income, DeFi developer liability under Section 604, and a stablecoin yield provision that threatens $1.35 billion in annual Coinbase USDC rewards revenue. The CPI report on September 11, the FOMC rate decision on September 16, and the SEC’s 24-hour trading roundtable on September 17 all land in the same compressed window, creating a volatility corridor unlike anything crypto has faced in 2026. If the bill fails, regulation defaults to a patchwork of agency rulemaking that can be reversed by any future administration, leaving the indus...