Trump confirms US conducts intermittent strikes in Iran amid ongoing conflict

Former President Donald Trump has stated that the United States conducts intermittent strikes in Iran, according to a recent statement reported by Tenet Research. This declaration comes amid an ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, which has seen a series of military exchanges since February 2026. The strikes, targeting Iran’s military infrastructure, are described as part of a broader strategy to degrade Iran’s military capabilities. The market reaction suggests that participants view this escalation as potentially detrimental to the prospects of a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026. Key Takeaways Trump’s statement appears consistent with market expectations of heightened military tensions, which may reduce the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal. Current pricing in the “US-Iran deal in 2026” market suggests a decrease in the probability of a YES outcome, with odds dropping recently. The ongoing conflict and recent U.S. strikes appear to reinforce participant views of continued instability, impacting diplomatic resolutions. What to Watch Markets will closely monitor developments in U.S.-Iran relations, particularly any changes in military activity or diplomatic engagements. Statements from k...