Trump predicts Iran conflict to end soon, oil prices to drop

In a statement that has captured global attention, former U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the ongoing conflict with Iran will conclude “very soon” and predicted that oil prices will subsequently decrease. This statement comes amidst a continuing U.S.-Iran conflict involving military actions and diplomatic efforts alongside Israel. Trump’s comments have historically influenced oil markets, often causing fluctuations due to perceived risks of supply disruptions in key areas like the Strait of Hormuz. Market participants are now closely watching for any tangible movements towards de-escalation following Trump’s assertions. Key Takeaways Trump’s remarks about the Iran conflict potentially ending soon and oil prices falling appear to suggest optimism about a possible resolution or understanding. Current market pricing for a US-Iran deal in 2026 shows a slight increase in the likelihood of Iran Reconstruction Funding being included, now at 22.5% YES, up from previous levels. Markets may view Trump’s statements as consistent with a potential de-escalation, reflecting increased probabilities in various Iran-related prediction markets. What to Watch Observers will be monitoring o...