Trump warns of Iran’s “evil intentions,” vows to block nuclear ambitions

In a recent statement, former U.S. President Donald Trump expressed concerns over Iran’s intentions, asserting that the country harbors “evil intentions” and emphasizing the United States’ resolve to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. This pronouncement comes amid ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran regarding nuclear capabilities. While there is no public evidence that Iran is currently constructing a nuclear weapon, Trump’s remarks highlight a potentially hardening stance from the U.S., which could affect ongoing diplomatic efforts related to Iran’s nuclear program. Market activity surrounding the potential for a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026 appears to reflect concerns that Trump’s statement could hinder diplomatic progress. The likelihood of Iran Reconstruction Funding being included in such a deal has seen a downward shift, with the probability decreasing to 28.5% from 30% over the past 24 hours. Key Takeaways Trump’s statement appears to suggest a hardening of the U.S. stance on Iran, perceived as reducing the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal that includes reconstruction funding. Market pricing indicates a decrease in confidence that a nuclear deal will include favorab...