US consumer sentiment drops to 51.0 as inflation expectations climb higher

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American consumers are feeling noticeably gloomier. The University of Michigan’s preliminary Index of Consumer Sentiment fell to 51.0 in August 2026, down from 55.2 in July, a 7.6% decline that snapped two consecutive months of improvement. The numbers behind the malaise The decline was broad-based, touching both how people feel about current conditions and where they think things are headed. The Index of Consumer Expectations, which captures forward-looking sentiment, dropped 8.7% to 50.6. The Current Economic Conditions index slid 5.5% to 51.8. But the real pain showed up in business condition expectations. Short-term expectations for business conditions fell 11%, while long-term expectations cratered by 17%. Surveys Director Joanne Hsu pointed to a sharp deterioration in how consumers view the trajectory of the economy, particularly on the business side. Inflation is the primary culprit. Year-ahead inflation expectations ticked up to 4.3% from 4.2% in July. Before the escalation of the Iran conflict in February, that same one-year measure sat at 3.4%. So consumers have ratcheted up their price expectations by nearly a full percentage point in about six months. Long-run inflation...

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