Will AVAX Price Crash to $5?

3 hours ago 2

Avalanche (AVAX) price price is facing growing pressure as its price drifts downward, threatening to break below key support levels. With RSI nearing oversold territory and price action hugging multi-month lows, investors are beginning to wonder: Could AVAX price crash all the way to $5? Let’s break down what the charts are saying and explore realistic scenarios.

AVAX Price Prediction: Is Avalanche Price Breaking Down or Just Consolidating?

At the time of analysis, AVAX price is trading around $18.00, having dropped 2.34% for the day. This recent decline forms part of a broader bearish trend that started in late May, with price slipping from the $24 zone to current levels.

On the Heikin Ashi chart, a strong sequence of red candles with minimal upper wicks confirms persistent bearish momentum. Unlike traditional candlestick patterns, Heikin Ashi helps smoothen price noise — and what we’re seeing here is a clear, controlled slide.

How Low Can Avalanche Price Go? Key Support Zones

Support levels are crucial in assessing downside risk. Based on recent price action and historical demand zones, AVAX price shows the following levels:

Immediate support: $17.73 (tested today)
Next major support: $15.20 – previous consolidation zone
Critical support: $13.40 – key horizontal level from March low
Crash-level support: $8.00 – last line of defense before a potential freefall

If AVAX price loses the $17.73 level decisively, a measured move suggests at least a $2.50 drop toward $15.20. That’s a -13.8% correction from current levels. Should that break, the next 15–20% drop could take Avalanche price near $13, and that opens the door to the dreaded $5 long-tail scenario — especially if Bitcoin corrects sharply or macro risk escalates.

What Does RSI Tell Us About Trend Strength?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 32.20, which flirts with the oversold boundary of 30. This suggests bearish exhaustion is near, but not confirmed yet. More importantly, RSI has been in a sustained downtrend, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows — indicating weakening buyer confidence.

Also notable: The RSI moving average (yellow) is above the RSI line, confirming downtrend momentum. In short, there’s no bullish divergence yet. Avalanche price is not ready to bounce meaningfully.

AVAX Price Prediction: What Would It Take for AVAX to Crash to $5?

A crash to $5 from the current $18 price represents a -72% decline. For that to happen, we would need:

Macro crypto collapse – e.g., Bitcoin falling below $45,000 and Ethereum losing $3,000 support.
AVAX-specific news – such as a DeFi protocol hack on Avalanche or developer exit.
Market-wide panic selling – triggered by regulation, black swan events, or recession signals.

Using Fibonacci extension from the $24 high to $13.40 support:

1.618 extension = $7.50
2.618 extension = $4.80

So, technically, $5 is within reach only if price freefalls beyond all supports, and sentiment completely collapses.

Is There Hope for a Bounce?

Not all is doom and gloom. If AVAX price holds $17.73 and closes a strong green candle with volume, a short-term bounce toward $20 is possible. A clear break above $20 would invalidate the bear trend and could reinitiate a climb back toward $22–24.

But for now, momentum is clearly against the bulls. Until a higher low and RSI reversal occur, any bounce is likely to be short-lived.

Final Verdict: Should You Be Worried?

Yes — cautiously. AVAX price is walking a tightrope. It hasn’t crashed yet, but if $17 breaks on volume, the next stop is likely between $15 and $13. While a move to $5 is not imminent, it is within the realm of possibility if market conditions deteriorate further.

Key Levels to Watch: