The US government now owes more than $40 trillion. That number crossed the threshold in August 2026, and the Treasury Department responded by announcing extensive long-term debt buybacks. The result has been predictable. Treasuries are falling, the dollar is declining, and investors are rotating into Bitcoin and gold. The debasement trade is back Bitcoin climbed roughly 23% in late August 2026, pushing above $77,000, while gold prices rose in tandem as the dollar weakened. The 90-day correlation between Bitcoin and gold hit multi-year highs in early September, surpassing 0.5. Options market data as of mid-September paints two very different pictures of trader sentiment. Gold is seeing overwhelming bullish positioning, with a more than 5:1 ratio of calls to puts on SPDR Gold Shares. Bitcoin ETF options, by contrast, show a much more balanced distribution of bullish and bearish bets. Why the split in sentiment matters The divergence in options positioning tells a deeper story about where each asset sits in the institutional comfort hierarchy. While Bitcoin has increasingly attracted institutional capital through spot ETFs and corporate treasury allocations, its tendency to behave as ...
Bitcoin and gold touted as hedges against currency debasement as US debt tops $40 trillion
4 weeks ago
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