China, US diplomats discuss high-level interactions amid tensions

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio engaged in a phone call to discuss the preparation for upcoming high-level interactions, as reported by Beijing. This diplomatic exchange is part of ongoing efforts to stabilize relations between the two countries amidst strategic rivalry and trade-security tensions. The call is indicative of both nations’ willingness to maintain diplomatic channels, with an emphasis on equality, respect, and reciprocity. These developments come as markets assess the likelihood of Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting the US before 2027. Key Takeaways Recent diplomatic communications between China and the US appear to be consistent with efforts to facilitate high-level interactions. Pricing in the market suggests an increased likelihood of Xi Jinping visiting the US before 2027, with odds currently high across sub-markets. The exchange between top diplomats supports the notion of ongoing crisis management and diplomatic engagement rather than military escalation. What to Watch Markets will be closely monitoring any announcements from either the US or Chinese governments that could further indicate a potential visit by Xi Jinping...