The US Treasury just told the bond market it would start buying its own homework. On August 19, the department announced it would double the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for longer-dated Treasuries, raising the maximum per operation from $2 billion to at least $4 billion. Gold’s response was immediate and emphatic: spot prices surged more than 3-4% on the day, blowing past $4,500 per ounce and closing in on three-month highs near $4,600. The new buyback limits take effect from September 9 through November 4. The timing is not coincidental. The 30-year Treasury yield had just touched approximately 5.34%, its highest level since 2007, as investors grew increasingly nervous about lending money to a government sitting on more than $40 trillion in federal debt. Why the Treasury blinked The buyback expansion is designed to absorb some of the supply pressure on those bonds without formally implementing yield-curve control, the more aggressive tool where a central bank explicitly caps yields at a target level. The logic works like this: by purchasing its own longer-dated debt, the Treasury reduces the available supply in the market, which should push prices up and yield...
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