People’s Bank of China governor states slower loan growth is new normal

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People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng, writing in the Communist Party’s theoretical journal Qiushi, declared that slower loan growth is now the standard operating mode for the world’s second-largest economy. Outstanding yuan loans have surpassed 280 trillion yuan, roughly $41.73 trillion, and Pan made clear that chasing the blistering growth rates of the past would only pile on leverage while delivering diminishing returns. The numbers behind the narrative New bank loans in August 2026 came in at 60 billion yuan, technically a rebound from July’s record contraction of 340 billion yuan. The August figure still fell well short of market expectations, suggesting that subdued credit demand isn’t a blip but a trend with staying power. The forces driving this shift are structural, not cyclical. Declining credit appetite from China’s contracting property sector, once the single largest engine of loan growth, has fundamentally altered the demand side of the equation. Local government financing vehicles, those off-balance-sheet borrowing entities that fueled an infrastructure building spree, are also pulling back. Perhaps the most striking data point from Pan’s analysis concerns tot...

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