Strategy holds 3.9% of Bitcoin supply, aims for 1M BTC by 2026

Strategy holds 818,334 BTC, representing 3.9% of total Bitcoin supply. Bitcoin’s April price market on Polymarket now sits at a 15% chance of increase.

With only six days left in April, the April 30 market reflects rising expectations that Bitcoin’s price will climb before month-end. Strategy’s accumulation at this scale treats Bitcoin as a macro asset, not a tradeable commodity.

Strategy aims to hit 1 million BTC by the end of 2026. That target implies continued large-scale buying over the next 20 months, a bet on Bitcoin’s future as a reserve asset. If other institutions read this as a signal to accumulate, buying pressure could compound. The market has priced in some of this expectation already.

The face value volume on this market shows no activity, but the sentiment shift matters. Strategy’s accumulation reframes Bitcoin from speculative asset to portfolio staple, and that perception change can move odds further as April closes.

Traders should watch for additional institutional signals that could support or undercut this direction. Michael Saylor’s public statements and any new announcements about Bitcoin as a reserve asset are the most likely catalysts in the remaining days.

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