US retail sales fall 0.6% in July, snapping nine-month streak and rattling GDP forecasts

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American consumers did something in July they hadn’t done since last October: they closed their wallets. Retail sales fell 0.6% month-over-month, according to the Commerce Department’s Census Bureau data released on August 14, marking the first decline in nine months and the steepest drop since May 2025. Economists had expected a modest 0.1% increase. What they got instead was a $763.6 billion sales figure that sent Treasury yields lower, softened the dollar, and prompted Wall Street firms to start revising their growth projections downward. Where the spending disappeared The damage was widespread, but a few categories took the hardest hits. Nonstore retailers, a category dominated by e-commerce, saw sales tumble 2.2%. Motor vehicle and parts dealers weren’t far behind with a 1.8% decline. Gas stations dropped 0.9%, and electronics and appliance stores slid 0.5%. Core retail sales, which strip out the more volatile categories like autos, gasoline, building materials, and food services, fell 0.4%. Wall Street’s consensus estimate had called for a 0.3% gain in that metric. Not everything cratered. Clothing stores posted a respectable 1.9% increase, and food services and drinking plac...

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